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Modeling infectious disease dynamics S Cobey, Science, May 15, 2020

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Modeling infectious disease dynamics
S Cobey, Science, May 15, 2020
The early spread of SARS-CoV-2 has revealed critical information about the potential size of the pandemic, if it were allowed to grow unchecked. This information has mathematical foundations developed from modeling other infectious diseases.
Infectious disease modeling is an expansive field with a long history, encompassing a range of methods and assumptions that are not necessarily directly comparable, or even designed for the same purpose. There are five questions to ask about epidemiologic models.

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