jueves, 18 de junio de 2020

Coronavirus Antibody Tests Have a Mathematical Pitfall - Scientific American

Coronavirus Antibody Tests Have a Mathematical Pitfall - Scientific American

Coronavirus Antibody Tests Have a Mathematical Pitfall

Mathematical pitfall plagues antibody tests

Even if a screening test is very accurate, if it is not 100% perfect then it will deliver some false positives and some false negatives. And the lower the infection rate, the more likely it is that a positive result is wrong. An imperfect antibody test for COVID-19, for example, could leave a lot of people thinking that they are possibly immune to the disease, when they have never even had it. Scientific American explains, with a very handy graphic, how this mind-bending fact arises.
Scientific American | 3 min read

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