Stroke. 2019 Sep 27:STROKEAHA119026545. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.119.026545. [Epub ahead of print]
Leveraging Human Genetics to Estimate Clinical Risk Reductions Achievable by Inhibiting Factor XI.
Georgi B1, Mielke J1, Chaffin M2, Khera AV2, Gelis L3, Mundl H3, van Giezen JJJ3, Ellinor P2, Kathiresan S2, Ziegelbauer K1, Freitag DF1.
Author information
- 1
- From the Bayer Pharmaceuticals, Open Innovation & Digital Technologies, Wuppertal, Germany (B.G., J.M., K.Z., D.F.F.).
- 2
- Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA (M.C., A.V.K., P.E., S.K.).
- 3
- Bayer Pharmaceuticals, Clinical Development, Wuppertal, Germany (L.G., H.M., J.J.J.v.G.).
Abstract
Background and Purpose- Coagulation factor XI (FXI) is a novel target for antithrombotic therapy addressed by various therapeutic modalities currently in clinical development. The expected magnitude of thrombotic event reduction mediated by targeting FXI is unclear. Methods- We analyzed the association of 2 common genetic variants, which alter levels of FXI, with a range of human phenotypes. We combined variants into a genetic score standardized to a 30% increase in relative activated partial thromboplastin time, equivalent to what can be achieved with pharmacological FXI reduction. Using data from 371 695 participants in the United Kingdom Biobank and 2 large-scale genome-wide association studies, we examined the effect of this FXI score on thrombotic and bleeding end points. Results- Genetic disposition to lower FXI levels was associated with reduced risks of venous thrombosis (odds ratio, 95% CI; P value; odds ratio=0.1, 0.07-0.14; P=3×10-43) and ischemic stroke (odds ratio=0.47, 0.36-0.61; P=2×10-8) but not with major bleeding (odds ratio=0.7, 0.45-1.04; P=0.0739). The observed relative risk reductions were consistent within a range of subgroups that were at high risk for thrombosis. Consistently, we observed higher absolute risk reductions conferred by genetically lower FXI levels in high-risk subgroups, such as patients with atrial fibrillation. Conclusions- Human genetic data suggest that pharmacological inhibition of FXI may achieve considerable reductions in ischemic stroke risk without clear evidence for an associated risk of major bleeding. The quantitative framework developed can be used to support the estimation of achievable risk reductions with pharmacological modulation of FXI.
KEYWORDS:
blood coagulation factor inhibitors; enoxaparin; mendelian randomization analysis; odds ratio; risk; thrombosis
- PMID:
- 31558144
- DOI:
- 10.1161/STROKEAHA.119.026545
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