FluSight: Flu Forecasting

CDC provides forecasting teams data, relevant public health forecasting targets, and forecast accuracy metrics evaluated against actual flu activity.

Current Flu Forecasting:

Each week during the influenza season, CDC displays the forecasts received through the Epidemic Prediction Initiative(EPI). This week forecasts indicate

Flu activity will likely increase over the next four weeks and the highest flu activity will likely occur in the next two months.
There is about a 70% chance that the highest flu activity for this season will occur by the end of January and a greater than 95% chance that the highest flu activity will occur by the end of February.

FluSight

Flu forecasting aims to predict future seasonal flu activity before it occurs, potentially reducing the impact of flu. CDC has developed the “FluSight”, which displays the national, regional, and state-level forecasts on an interactive website. This season, CDC will be posting a short summary of the forecasts each week.

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Unlike CDC’s traditional influenza surveillance systems, which measure influenza activity after it has occurred, flu forecasting offers the possibility to look into the future and better plan ahead, potentially reducing the impact of flu.