How Will the 2025 Reconciliation Law Affect the Uninsured Rate in Each State? Allocating CBO’s Estimates of Additional Uninsured People Across the States Authors: Alice Burns, Jared Ortaliza, Justin Lo, Matthew Rae, and Cynthia Cox Published: Aug 20, 2025

https://www.kff.org/uninsured/how-will-the-2025-reconciliation-law-affect-the-uninsured-rate-in-each-state/ How Much the Uninsured Rate Could Rise in Each State KFF's updated analysis apportions the increase in the number of uninsured across the 50 states and DC, including the percentage point increase by state. Nationally, CBO estimates that the reconciliation law will increase the number of uninsured by 10 million in 2034. That number would rise to over 14 million if enhanced premium tax credits for ACA Marketplace enrollees expire later this year.