Special report: The simulations driving the world’s response to COVID-19

Special report: The simulations driving the world’s response to COVID-19

Special report: How to model a pandemic

Governments across the world are relying on mathematical projections to help to guide decisions in this pandemic. But much information about how SARS-CoV-2 spreads is still unknown and must be estimated or assumed — limiting the precision of forecasts. Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, a member of the Imperial College London team that has most influenced the British response to the outbreak, explains exactly how the process works.

Nature | 12 min read