lunes, 12 de octubre de 2020

The coronavirus unveiled: An atom-by-atom model of the coronavirus L Casalino et al, NY Times, October 9, 2020

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Coronavirus

We derived the contact index, an index for the intensity of contact behavior from spatial proximity between individuals as proxy for physical interaction based on large-scale GPS mobile phone data of 1.15 to 1.4 million users A high correlation between the contact index and the effective reproduction number six days later could be observed in three different phases of the virus spread in Germany. Our model can potentially forecast the time evolution of the pandemic in Germany.

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